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Commodity Trader's Almanac 2010

ISBN: 978-0-470-42217-5
198 pages
November 2009
Commodity Trader


An indispensable resource for active traders from the Hirsch Organization and John Person. Provides the best in investment data and statistics, in the same calendar format as the trusted annual Stock Trader's Almanac.

The Commodity Trader’s Almanac 2010 is your annual guide to commodities trading. Whether you’re a seasoned investor or just getting started in commodities this vital desk reference is packed with critical commodity trading seasonality trends, strategies and data for every active trader. You get actionable information on specific stocks, ETFs and more! The 2010 edition's key features include:

  • A NEW Commodity Seasonality Strategy Calendar
  • EXPANDED advice on using the COT Report – Commodity Traders’ "Inside Scoop"
  • BRAND NEW listing of Commodity Trading Specs and Related Securities to Trade
  • Updates on Commodity Seasonalities
  • New Trades and Added Data including the S&P 500 and 30-year Bond Futures
  • Case studies on how these trades actually worked last year
  • Business Cycle Analysis and trading tips for the current climate
  • Expanded Feature on Timing Tools with tips on utilizing Candlesticks and Pivot Points to better time seasonal trades

...and more.

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Table of Contents

Introduction to the Fourth Edition.

Using Timing Tools to Improve Trading Results.

2010 Strategy Calendar.

January Almanac.

Euro Peaks Against U.S. Dollar.

Wheat Turns to Chaff.

Gold Rally Loses its Luster.

Sweet End of January Long S&P 500 Trade.

February Almanac.

Strength in Soybeans.

Silver Tarnishes in February.

Natural Gas Surges.

March Almanac.

Cocoa Peaks Before St. Patrick’s Day.

March British Pound Invasion.

Crude Oil Strikes a Winner in April.

April Almanac.

April Tax Time Takes a Bite out of Gold.

Bonds Must Go Up When Stocks Go Down.

Beef Prices Head South Before Summer.

May Almanac.

Copper Tops in May.

Silver Slips in May.

Coffee Buzz Fades in Summer.

Short Soybeans for Summer.

June Almanac.

Harvest Boosts Wheat.

Summer BBQ Season Gives Beef a Bounce.

Mother Nature Makes Corn Pop.

July Almanac.

Last-Half July S&P 500 Short.

Summer Air Conditioning Heats Up Natural Gas.

Swiss Franc Follows Gold Higher.

August Almanac.

August Gives Coffee a Lift.

Twin Cocoa Crops Create Twin Summertime Trades.

Gold Glitters Mid-Summer.

Crude Oil Takes a Breather.

September Almanac.

British Pound Autumn Rally.

Silver Slumps in October.

Japanese Yen Dives against the Dollar.

October Almanac.

Soybean's Harvest Lows Offer Potential Free Meal.

Two-Month Year-end Euro Rally.

Massive S&P 500 Gains Halloween to Christmas.

Corn Harvest Lows Feed Bulls All Winter and Spring.

November Almanac.

Lean Hogs Fatten Up before Thanksgiving.

Gold Bugs Get a Treat for the Holidays.

Bonds Freeze Up In Winter.

December Almanac.

Swiss Franc Trades like Gold.

Copper Starts to Build a Bullish Foundation.

British Pound Invasion Fades Away.

Business Cycle Cause and Effect on Seasonal Price Moves.

2011 Strategy Calendar.

Directory of Trading Patterns and Databank.

January Short Euro Case Study.

January Short Gold Case Study.

February Long Crude Oil Case Study.

March Short Cocoa Case Study.

October Short Gold Case Study.

Commodity Seasonality: Top Percentage Plays.

Commodity Seasonality Strategy Calendar.

Bullish on Commodities—Own the Exchanges.

COT Report—Commodity Traders’ "Inside Scoop".

Commodity and Related Securities Specifications.

Commodity, Currency, and Stock Index Exchange Traded Funds.

S&P 500 Cycle, Seasonal Pattern, Trading Guide & Data.

30-Year Treasury Bond Cycle, Seasonal Pattern, Trading Guide & Data.

Crude Oil Cycle, Seasonal Pattern, Trading Guide & Data.

Natural Gas Cycle, Seasonal Pattern, Trading Guide & Data.

Copper Cycle, Seasonal Pattern, Trading Guide & Data.

Gold Cycle, Seasonal Pattern, Trading Guide & Data.

Silver Cycle, Seasonal Pattern, Trading Guide & Data.

Corn Cycle, Seasonal Pattern, Trading Guide & Data.

Soybeans Cycle, Seasonal Pattern, Trading Guide & Data.

CBOT Wheat Cycle, Seasonal Pattern, Trading Guide & Data.

Cocoa Cycle, Seasonal Pattern, Trading Guide & Data.

Coffee Cycle, Seasonal Pattern, Trading Guide & Data.

Sugar Cycle, Seasonal Pattern, Trading Guide & Data.

Live Cattle Cycle, Seasonal Pattern, Trading Guide & Data.

Lean Hogs Cycle, Seasonal Pattern, Trading Guide & Data.

British Pound Cycle, Seasonal Pattern, Trading Guide & Data.

Euro Cycle, Seasonal Pattern, Trading Guide & Data.

Swiss Franc Cycle, Seasonal Pattern, Trading Guide & Data.

Japanese Yen Cycle, Seasonal Pattern, Trading Guide & Data.

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Related Websites / Extra

http://www.stocktradersalmanac.com Stock Trader's Almanac site - www.stocktradersalmanac.com
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Press Release

November 12, 2009
Commodity Trader's Almanac 2010

Severe volatility in oil, precious metals, and food prices causes millions to be lost as well as gained in the commodities market. Despite the erratic ups and downs, there is a cyclical pattern to commodity markets, with weather, holidays, human behaviors and other factors impacting demand and supply, and ultimately, the price of a commodity. Incorporating the same format that has made Stock Trader’s Almanac the ultimate desktop market data bank for more than 40 years, COMMODITY TRADER’S ALMANAC 2010 (Wiley; November 2009; $39.95; 978-0-470-42217-5; Hardcover) is a vital resource of historical reference and seasonal patterns. Edited by John Person, a 29-year veteran of the futures and options industry, the book includes monthly almanac pages; market highlights; pertinent statistics, historical strengths and weaknesses, seasonal tendencies, and information on the beginning and end for both rallies and breaks.

Seasonalities and their respective potential risks and rewards have been identified for 19 different commodities on both the long and the short side.  In addition to the top 13 traditional commodities, the almanac includes data for how the U.S. dollar fares against four of the top major currencies (the euro, Swiss franc, Japanese yen, and the British pound). Plus, new for 2010, two markets have been added, the S&P 500 index futures and the 30-Year Treasury Bonds. The almanac incorporates how to translate trading stocks and Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) from the study of seasonal commodity and Forex cycles. This takes seasonal studies further by including examples of highly correlated stocks that trade in tandem with the respective commodities. One example is the relationship between the price move of soybean futures against an agricultural ETF like PowerShares DB Agriculture (DBA) and the price move of a specific stock in the agribusiness, such as Monsanto (MON). Detailed statistical data on past market price action; top technical timing tools designed to improve results, including tips on how to utilize Candlesticks and Pivot Points; the trading nuances of related markets; annual highs and lows for the top commodity markets; and reminder alerts are presented to help better time seasonal trades.

The 2010 Commodity Trader’s Almanac introduces several new features, including a commodity seasonality strategy calendar, a listing of commodity trading specs and related securities to trade, and business cycle analysis and trading tips for the current climate. The new contract specifications tables containing a listing of high-correlating stocks and exchange traded funds for each commodity should help futures traders and stock traders capitalize on these seasonal tendencies by using various securities based on different patterns and strategies. Five case studies on how these trades actually worked last year illustrate how to use this Almanac in combination with Person’s favorite technical tools. Research from Person’s book Forex Conquered: High Probability Systems and Strategies for Active Traders will help the trader understand and identify where we are in the business cycle and what to potentially expect in the markets.

Intended as a tool to assist participants when entering a new position or deciding to either move a stop loss or add to a new position, COMMODITY TRADER’S ALMANAC discusses:

  • How natural production and consumption cycles drive prices during specific times of the year
  • How the futures markets often factor in demand and supply concerns prior to the actual event
  • How similar, but different markets often react stronger or weaker to the natural consumption/production cycle
  • That prices are often driven by regularly recurring patterns (or cycles) surrounding the calendar year and how often these patterns have continued or reversed

COMMODITY TRADER’S ALMANAC 2010 is an indispensible resource for traders seeking to capitalize on the growing commodity and futures markets.

Other products from the Hirsch Organization include STOCK TRADER’S ALMANAC 2010 (Wiley; October 2009; $39.95; 978-0-470-42218-2; Hardcover) and ALMANAC INVESTOR NEWSLETTER (https://www.stocktradersalmanac.com). Published every year since 1968, STOCK TRADER’S ALMANAC is a must-have investment tool with a wealth of information organized in a calendar format. It alerts readers to little-known market patterns and tendencies that help investors forecast market trends with accuracy and confidence. Allowing shrewd investors to maximize profit potential, STA is the ultimate desktop market data bank, showing the market’s likely direction every hour, day, week, and month based on historical precedent. The ALMANAC INVESTOR NEWSLETTER provides monthly newsletters that feature stock market data, indicators, and seasonal patterns; weekly e-mail alerts that warn users about the best/worst trading days, market changes, stock updates, financial commentary, and overall market sentiment; and access to handy research tools that enable subscribers to do their own research and update market indicators and strategies. The Hirsch Organization also publishes books with Wiley under its Almanac Investor Series, including The MAGNET Method of Investing by Jordan Kimmel, Double Your Money in America's Finest Companies by Bill Staton and America's Finest Companies 2010: 19th Annual Investment Directory (E-Book Only) by Bill Staton with Mary Staton.

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