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Profiting from the World's Economic Crisis: Finding Investment Opportunities by Tracking Global Market Trends

ISBN: 978-0-470-46035-1
464 pages
April 2010
Profiting from the World
Praise for Profiting From the World's Economic Crisis

"Someone is going to make money in the next decade. Perhaps Bud will help you find your way."
—Jim Rogers, cofounder, Quantum Fund; author, A Gift to My Children

"Where everyone today has an opinion on everything, much of it gleaned from a blog, Bud Conrad's constant mantra is 'What does the data say?' And then he rolls up his sleeves and works almost around the clock for as many days as it takes to get to a defensible answer. In other words, there are those who talk, and those who do. Bud does. In Profiting from the World's Economic Crisis, Bud tells you what the data shows about the risks and opportunities just ahead. You'll want to pay attention."
—David Galland, Managing Editor, The Casey Report

"Bud Conrad's book is a brutally honest journey into the future. Honest because Bud builds on facts, not popular opinion; brutal as he¿illustrates the logical consequences as global dynamics play out. You can't afford not to read this book."
—Axel Merk, President and Chief Investment Officer, Merk Mutual Funds; author, Sustainable Wealth

"This book could not be better timed, as the government and Wall Street do their best to convince the public that the financial storm has passed. Bud Conrad begs to differ and using his unique ability to take complex data and distill it into straightforward charts, he not only explains how the hurricane developed, but why it's far from over. He then goes on to show investors not just how to survive the storm's resurgence, but how to prosper."
—Steve Henningsen, Chief Financial Strategist, The Wealth Conservancy

"Right now you may be asking yourself 'What's going to happen to the economy, why is it happening, and what can I do to profit from it?' As far as I'm concerned, Bud has the correct answers to these questions. Among other things, this book will become 'the' reference book for data and charts that economists and investors will go to for years to come. I urge you to read this book—now—and act on its advice."
—DOUG CASEY, Chairman, Casey Research, bestselling author, Crisis Investing

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Acknowledgements.

Introduction.

Part One Economic Forces.

Chapter 1 The Budget Deficit Drives the Growth of All Debt.

Chapter 2 The Trade Deficit and U.S. Dependency on Foreign Investments.

Chapter 3 The Big Costs of Healthcare, Social Security, and the Military.

Part Two Financial Crisis Response.

Chapter 4 The Federal Reserve Prints Our Money (Stop the Presses!).

Chapter 5: The Importance of Debt for Predicting Our Economy.

Chapter 6 The Big-Picture Model of Our Economy.

Part Three Recession or Depression?

Chapter 7 What Can the 1929 Great Depression Teach Us About Today's Crisis?

Chapter 8 What the U.S. Can Learn from Japan's Lost Decade(s): 1989-2009.

Chapter 9 What the U.S. Can Learn from German and Other European Hyperinflations and from China Today.

Part Four Investment Opportunities.

Chapter 10 The Stock Market May Be Dead for Another Decade.

Chapter 11 Energy in the 21st Century: The End of the Petroleum Age.

Chapter 12 Food, Grain Trading.

Chapter 13 The Demise of the Dollar.

Chapter 14 Interest Rates: The Trade of the Decade.

Chapter 15 Gold is the Only Real Money.

Part Five Putting It All Together.

Chapter 16 Forecast for the Future.

Chapter 17 Looking over the Horizon to See the Best Investments.

List of Tables and Figures.

About the Author.

Index.

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Bud Conrad is the Chief Economist at Casey Research and has been a futures investor for twenty-five years, as well as a full-time investor for more than a decade. He holds an MBA from Harvard and an electrical engineering degree from Yale. Conrad has held positions with IBM, CDC, Amdahl, and Tandem. His comprehensive picture of the world's economy, based on a career of using long-term fundamental analysis, enables him to explain how this crisis arose and where it will evolve to. He uses insights learned from his engineering training to interpret how investment cycles affect our economy. He served as a local board member of the National Association for Business Economics and taught graduate courses in investing at Golden Gate University. A popular speaker, Conrad has delivered talks in New Zealand, Dubai, New York, Vancouver, Denver, Phoenix, Las Vegas, San Francisco, Los Angeles, and Chicago. He has appeared on CNBC, Fox Business News, New Zealand 3news, and has commented in many publications from the Wall Street Journal to Reuters.
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April 12, 2010
Profiting from the World's Economic Crisis

The world’s economic crisis has been difficult for the world’s financial system, but that doesn’t mean that opportunity isn’t out there if money is invested in the right things. Bud Conrad, Chief Economist for Casey Research, makes a compelling case for where these world forces will drive your investments in PROFITING FROM THE WORLD’S ECONOMIC CRISIS (Wiley; $27.95).  

Conrad predicts a gloomy and rough road ahead for investors if they ignore the economic imbalances that have built up over the past decade. Taking a closer look at the numerous obstacles Americans face – ever increasing US government and trade deficits, impending rise in health care costs, rising oil prices and the weakening dollar – there is no doubt that these forces will affect investments for years to come. Conrad examines why some of the government's actions—such as bailing out banks and curbing interest rates—have made the situation more precarious because too much government debt will keep the economy weak. 

The crisis we have entered is not a typical business recession, but a major deleveraging which is the biggest shift since the Great Depression. The stagflation of the U.S. economy is the result of great challenges on a global scale. And since no market travels in a straight line, it is important to be positioned correctly, with the right investments, to protect and profit from the inevitable twists and turns of today's turbulent environment. 

PROFITING FROM THE WORLD'S ECONOMIC CRISIS addresses how to position your investments during these difficult times in gold, interest rates, currency, and commodities that are likely to turn a profit in the coming years. Its 262 charts and tables are a treasure trove for reference that goes beyond the tired bland assertions of so many Wall Street pundits. Charts provide clear explanations of how we got to where we are and provide the basis for predicting where investments should be directed. These times require active involvement to protect you from the demise of the dollar.

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