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Stock Trader's Almanac 2011

ISBN: 978-0-470-55744-0
196 pages
October 2010
Stock Trader

A time-tested guide to stock trading

Published every year since 1968, the Stock Trader's Almanac is a practical investment tool with a wealth of information organized in calendar format. Everyone from well-known money managers to savvy traders and investors relies upon this annual resource for its in-depth analyses and insights. The Stock Trader's Almanac 2011 contains essential historical price information on the stock market, provides monthly and daily reminders, and highlights seasonal trading opportunities and dangers.

  • Alerts you to little-known market patterns and tendencies to help forecast market trends with accuracy and confidence
  • An indispensable annual resource, trusted for over 40 years by traders and investors
  • The data in the Almanac is some of the cleanest in the business

For its wealth of information and the authority of its sources, the Stock Trader's Almanac stands alone as the guide to intelligent investing.

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10 2011 Strategy Calendar.

12 January Almanac.

14 January’s First Five Days: An “Early Warning” System.

16 The Incredible January Barometer (Devised 1972): Only Six Significant Errors in 60 Years.

18 January Barometer in Graphic Form Since 1950.

20 Hot January Industries Beat S&P 500 Next 11 Months.

22 February Almanac.

24 1933 “Lame Duck” Amendment: Reason January Barometer Works.

26 The First Year of Decades.

28 Market Charts of Pre-Presidential Election Years.

30 March Almanac.

32 Pre-Presidential Election Years: No Losers in 72 Years.

34 Why a 50% Gain in the Dow is Possible from its 2010 Low to its 2011 High.

36 Next Super Boom–Dow 38820 By 2025.

38 April Almanac.

40 The December Low Indicator: A Useful Prognosticating Tool.

42 Down Januarys: A Remarkable Record.

44 Top Performing Months Past 601/3 Years: Standard & Poor’s 500 and Dow Jones Industrials.

46 May Almanac.

48 Best Six Months: Still An Eye-Popping Strategy.

50 MACD-Timing Triples “Best Six Months” Results.

52 Take Advantage of Down Friday/Down Monday Warning.

54 Top Performing NASDAQ Months Past 391/3 Years.

56 June Almanac.

58 Get More out of NASDAQ’s “Best Eight Months” with MACD-Timing.

60 Triple Returns, Fewer Trades: Best 6 + 4-Year Cycle.

62 First-Trading-Day-Of-The-Month Phenomenon: Dow Gains More One Day than All Other Days.

64 July Almanac.

66 2009 Daily Dow Point Changes.

68 Don’t Sell Stocks on Monday or Friday.

70 A Rally for All Seasons.

72 First Month of Quarters Is the Most Bullish.

74 August Almanac.

76 Aura of the Triple Witch—4th Quarter Most Bullish: Down Weeks Trigger More Weakness Week After.

78 What To Trade During Best and Worst Months.

80 A Correction for All Seasons.

82 September Almanac.

84 Market Behavior Three Days before and Three Days after Holidays.

86 Fourth Quarter Market Magic.

88 Market Gains More on Super-8 Days Each Month.

Than on All 13 Remaining Days Combined.

90 October Almanac.

92 Sector Seasonality: Selected Percentage Plays.

94 Sector Index Seasonality Strategy Calendar.

98 Trading the Thanksgiving Market.

100 November Almanac.

102 Most of the So-Called “January Effect” Takes Place in the Last Half of December.

104 January Effect Now Starts in Mid-December.

106 Wall Street’s Only Free Lunch Served before Christmas.

108 December Almanac.

110 If Santa Claus Should Fail to Call, Bears May Come to Broad and Wall.

112 Best Investment Book of the Year: Far From Random.

114 Year’s Top Investment Books.

118 2012 Strategy Calendar.

DIRECTORY OF TRADING PATTERNS AND DATABANK.

121 Dow Jones Industrials Market Probability Calendar 2011.

122 Recent Dow Jones Industrials Market Probability Calendar 2011.

123 S&P 500 Market Probability Calendar 2011.

124 Recent S&P 500 Market Probability Calendar 2011.

125 NASDAQ Market Probability Calendar 2011.

126 Recent NASDAQ Market Probability Calendar 2011.

127 Russell 1000 Index Market Probability Calendar 2011.

128 Russell 2000 Index Market Probability Calendar 2011.

129 Decennial Cycle: A Market Phenomenon.

130 Presidential Election/Stock Market Cycle: The 177-Year Saga Continues.

131 Dow Jones Industrials Bull and Bear Markets Since 1900.

132 Standard & Poor’s 500 Bull and Bear Markets Since 1929/NASDAQ Composite Since 1971.

133 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: January and February.

134 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: March and April.

135 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: May and June.

136 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: July and August.

137 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: September and October.

138 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: November and December.

139 A Typical Day in the Market.

140 Through the Week on a Half-Hourly Basis.

141 Tuesday Most Profitable Day of Week.

142 NASDAQ Strongest Last 3 Days of Week.

143 S&P Daily Performance Each Year Since 1952.

144 NASDAQ Daily Performance Each Year Since 1971.

145 Monthly Cash Inflows into S&P Stocks.

146 Monthly Cash Inflows into NASDAQ Stocks.

147 November, December, and January: Year’s Best Three-Month Span.

148 November Through June: NASDAQ’s Eight-Month Run.

149 Dow Jones Industrials Annual Highs, Lows, and Closes Since 1901.

150 Standard & Poor’s 500 Annual Highs, Lows, and Closes Since 1930.

151 NASDAQ, Russell 1000, and 2000 Annual Highs, Lows, and Closes Since 1971.

152 Dow Jones Industrials Monthly Percent Changes Since 1950.

153 Dow Jones Industrials Monthly Point Changes Since 1950.

154 Dow Jones Industrials Monthly Closing Prices Since 1950.

155 Standard & Poor’s 500 Monthly Percent Changes Since 1950.

156 Standard & Poor’s 500 Monthly Closing Prices Since 1950.

157 NASDAQ Composite Monthly Percent Changes Since 1971.

158 NASDAQ Composite Monthly Closing Prices Since 1971.

159 Russell 1000 Monthly Percent Changes and Closing Prices Since 1979.

160 Russell 2000 Monthly Percent Changes and Closing Prices Since 1979.

161 10 Best Days by Point and Percent.

162 10 Worst Days by Point and Percent.

163 10 BestWeeks by Point and Percent.

164 10 WorstWeeks by Point and Percent.

165 10 Best Months by Point and Percent.

166 10 Worst Months by Point and Percent.

167 10 Best Quarters by Point and Percent.

168 10 Worst Quarters by Point and Percent.

169 10 BestYears by Point and Percent.

170 10 WorstYears by Point and Percent.

STRATEGY PLANNING AND RECORD SECTION.

172 Portfolio at Start of 2011.

173 Additional Purchases.

175 Short-Term Transactions.

177 Long-Term Transactions.

179 Interest/Dividends Received during 2011/Brokerage Account Data 2011.

180 Weekly Portfolio Price Record 2011.

182 Weekly Indicator Data 2011.

184 Monthly Indicator Data 2011.

185 Portfolio at End of 2011.

186 If You Don’t Profit from Your Investment Mistakes, Someone Else Will; Performance Record of Recommendations.

187 Individual Retirement Account (IRA): Most Awesome Mass Investment Incentive Ever Devised.

188 Top 300 Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs).

190 Option Trading Codes.

191 G. M. Loeb’s “Battle Plan” for Investment Survival.

192 G. M. Loeb’s Investment Survival Checklist.

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Record Section & Sample Spreadsheet from pages 171-192 of the STA 2011
Save to Your Computer Now! This Handy Excel File Helps You to Record Your Portfolio Detail Electronically
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Strategy Planning & Record Section PDF for the STA 2011
Please Click this Link and Open the Free PDF to Start Recording Your Portfolio Detail Electronically
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September 27, 2010
Stock Trader's Almanac 2011

Now in its 44th annual edition, the STOCK TRADER’S ALMANAC 2011 (Wiley; October 2010; $39.95; 978-0-470-55744-0; Hardcover) is packed with loads of new features, including a brand new projection for the Next Super Boom to start in 2017 and carry the Dow up 500% to 38,820 by 2025. “All previous major economic booms and secular bull markets were driven by peace, inflation from war and crisis spending, and ubiquitous enabling technologies that created major cultural paradigm shifts and sustained prosperity,” says Editor in Chief, Jeffrey A. Hirsch. “Government spending is on the rise. This has always led to massive jumps in inflation eventually. We expect that it will happen again over the next several years. Following the major wars in the 20th century involving the United States, inflation kicked in and the stock market made 500+% moves.” Hirsch continued, “U.S. troop withdrawals in Iraq and Afghanistan remain on schedule and I suspect that the next cultural paradigm shifting technologies will come from energy technology and/or biotechnology.”

This must-have investment tool has a wealth of information organized in a calendar format. It alerts readers to little-known market patterns and tendencies that help investors forecast market trends with accuracy and confidence. The data and analyses in the Almanac are relied upon by savvy professionals, from well-known money managers to journalists. Allowing shrewd investors to maximize profit potential, STA is the ultimate desktop market data bank, showing the market’s likely direction every hour, day, week, and month based on historical precedent.

Created by Jeff Hirsch and the Hirsch Organization, tools and strategies contained in STA include:

The January Barometer: Predicts that stock market performance during the month of January sets the direction for the entire year. In fact, every down January for the S&P 500 since 1950 has been followed by a new or continuing bear market, a 10% correction or a flat year. 2010 was no exception. Down 3.7% in January 2010, the S&P declined 16% from its April high to its July low.

The Best Six Months switching strategy: The stock market tends to make almost all its gains during just six particular months of the year. In most years, the rest of the time traders would be better off putting their money in T-bills and going fishing. STA has upped the ante on this old favorite by combining the benefits of the Best Six Months and the four-year cycle, nearly tripling the Best Six Months results with four trades every four years. 

Four-Year Presidential Election/Stock Market Cycle: Our presidential elections every four years affect the economy and the stock market – just as the moon affects the tides. There have been no losses in the third (pre-election) year of a president’s term since war-torn 1939 as presidents prime the pump to keep themselves or their party in the White House.

STA transforms investing into a business framework and makes investing easier by presenting new techniques and tools, providing pertinent statistics on past market performance, and supplying forms necessary for portfolio management.

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