Thinking: Psychological Perspectives on Reasoning, Judgment and Decision MakingISBN: 978-0-471-49457-7
Hardcover
392 pages
May 2004
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Introduction.
Part I: Reasoning.
Chapter 1: A Theory of Hypothetical Thinking (Jonathan St. B.T. Evans, David E. Over and Simon J. Handley).
Chapter 2: Individual Differences in the Development of Reasoning Strategies (Maxwell J. Roberts and Elizabeth J. Newton).
Chapter 3: Generalising Individual Differences and Strategies Across Different Deductive Reasoning Domains (Padraic Monaghan and Keith Stenning).
Chapter 4: Superordinate Principles, Conditions and Conditionals (Neil Fairley and Ken Manktelow).
Chapter 5: Premise Interpretation in Conditional Reasoning (Guy Politzer).
Chapter 6: Probabilities and Pragmatics in Conditional Inference: Suppression and Order Effects (Mike Oaksford and Nick Chater).
Part II: Judgment.
Chapter 7: Verbal Expressions of Uncertainty and Probability (Karl Halvor Teigen and Wibecke Brun).
Chapter 8: Possibilities and Probabilities (Paolo Legrenzi, Vittorio Girotto, Maria Sonino Legrenzi and Philip N. Johnson-Laird).
Chapter 9: The Partitive Conditional Probability (Laura Macchi).
Chapter 10: Naive and yet Enlightened: From Natural Frequencies to Fast and Frugal Decision Trees (Laura Martignon, Oliver Vitouch, Masanori Takezawa and Malcolm R. Forster).
Chapter 11: More is not Always Better: The Benefits of Cognitive Limits (Ralph Hertwig and Peter M. Todd).
Chapter 12: Correspondence and Coherence: Indicators of Good Judgment in World Politics (Philip E. Tetlock).
Part III: Decision Making.
Chapter 13: Cognitive Mapping of Causal Reasoning in Strategic Decision Making (A. John Maule, Gerard P. Hodgkinson and Nicola J. Bown).
Chapter 14: Belief and Preference in Decision Under Uncertainty (Craig R. Fox and Kelly E. See).
Chapter 15: Medical Decision Scripts: Combining Cognitive Scripts and Judgment Strategies to Account Fully for Medical Decision Making (Robert M. Hamm).
Chapter 16: On the Assessment of Decision Quality: Considerations Regarding Utility, Conflict and Accountability (Gideon Keren and W¨andi Bruine de Bruin).
Author Index.
Subject Index.
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