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Forecasting Financial Markets: Technical Analysis and the Dynamics of Price

ISBN: 978-0-471-53408-2
259 pages
March 1991
Forecasting Financial Markets: Technical Analysis and the Dynamics of Price (0471534080) cover image
Takes the mystery out of financial markets by providing a straightforward analytical framework for trading. Offers a unifying rationale for technical analysis of markets, making it more of a ``science'' than ever before. Begins with a discussion of how emotional elements permeate economic and financial behaviors and how forecasters can remain independent from such behavior. The more reliable theories of natural systems and price pulse--continuously recurring price patterns--are introduced and examined in detail. The author shows analysts how to use these techniques to forecast price movement profile, extent, and timing of reversals, putting investors on the road to trading with minimum risk and maximum success.
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THE LOGIC OF NON-RATIONAL BEHAVIOR IN CROWDS.

Wholly Individual or Indivisibly Whole.

Two's a Crowd.

The Individual in the Crowd.

The Systems Approach to Crowd Behavior.

Cycles in the Crowd.

Techniques for Forecasting Crowd Behavior.

THE DYNAMICS OF THE BULL/BEAR CYCLE.

The Stock Market Crowd.

The Shape of the Bull/Bear Cycle.

The Spiral and Fibonacci.

The Mathematical Basis of Price Movements.

The Shape of Price Movements.

FORECASTING TURNING POINTS.

Price Patterns at Turning Points.

Price Patterns in Traditional Technical Analysis.

Price Patterns During Trends.

The Elliott Wave Principle.

The Confirmation of Buy and Sell Signals.

Natural Reversal Points.

The Use of Time Cycle Analysis.

The Evidence for Time Cycles.

THE THEORY IN PRACTICE.

The Equity Market Crash of 1987.

Summary and Conclusion.

Appendices.

Index.

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