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Econometrics
 A Companion to Economic Forecasting
ISBN: 978-0-631-21569-1
Hardcover
616 pages
March 2002, Wiley-Blackwell
US $209.95
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List of Contributors.
Preface.
Acknowledgments.
1. An Overview of Economic Forecasting: Michael P. Clements and David H. Hendry.
2. Predictable Uncertainty in Economic Forecasting: Neil R. Ericsson.
3. Density Forecasting: A Survey: Anthony S. Tay and Kenneth F. Wallis.
4. Statistical Approaches to Modelling and Forecasting Time Series: Diego J. Pedregal and Peter C. Young.
5. Forecasting with Structural Time-Series Models: Tommaso Proietti.
6. Judgemental Forecasting: Dilek Onkal-Atay, Mary E. Thomson and Andrew C. Pollock.
7. Forecasting for Policy: Adrian R. Pagan and John Robertson.
8. Forecasting Cointegrated VARMA Processes: Helmut Lutkepohl.
9. Multi-Step Forecasting: Raj Bhansali.
10. The Rationality and Efficiency of Individuals' Forecasts: Herman O. Stekler.
11. Decision-Theoretic Methods for Forecast Evaluation: M. Hashem Pesaran and Spyros Skouros.
12. Forecast Combination and Encompassing: Paul Newbold and David I. Harvey.
13. Testing Forecast Accuracy: Roberto S. Mariano.
14. Inference About Predictive Ability: Michael W. McCracken and Kenneth D. West.
15. Forecasting Competitions: Their Role in Improving Forecasting Practice and Research: Robert Fildes and Keith Ord.
16. Empirical Comparisons of Inflation Models' Forecast Accuracy: ?yvind Eitrheim, Tore Anders Huseb?, and Ragnar Nymoen.
17. The Forecasting Performance of the OECD Composite Leading Indicators for France, Germany, Italy, and the UK: Gonzalo Camba-Mendez, George Kapetanios, Martin R. Weale and Richard J. Smith.
18. Unit Root Versus Deterministic Representations of Seasonality for Forecasting: Denise R. Osborn.
19. Forecasting with Periodic Autoregressive Time Series Models: Philip Hans Franses and Richard Paap.
20. Non-Linear Models and Forecasting: Ruey S. Tsay.
21. Forecasting with Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models: Stefan Lundbergh and Timo Terasvirta.
22. Forecasting Financial Variables: Terence C. Mills.
23. Explaining Forecast Failure in Macroeconomics: Michael P. Clements and David F. Hendry.
Author Index.
Subject Index
Preface.
Acknowledgments.
1. An Overview of Economic Forecasting: Michael P. Clements and David H. Hendry.
2. Predictable Uncertainty in Economic Forecasting: Neil R. Ericsson.
3. Density Forecasting: A Survey: Anthony S. Tay and Kenneth F. Wallis.
4. Statistical Approaches to Modelling and Forecasting Time Series: Diego J. Pedregal and Peter C. Young.
5. Forecasting with Structural Time-Series Models: Tommaso Proietti.
6. Judgemental Forecasting: Dilek Onkal-Atay, Mary E. Thomson and Andrew C. Pollock.
7. Forecasting for Policy: Adrian R. Pagan and John Robertson.
8. Forecasting Cointegrated VARMA Processes: Helmut Lutkepohl.
9. Multi-Step Forecasting: Raj Bhansali.
10. The Rationality and Efficiency of Individuals' Forecasts: Herman O. Stekler.
11. Decision-Theoretic Methods for Forecast Evaluation: M. Hashem Pesaran and Spyros Skouros.
12. Forecast Combination and Encompassing: Paul Newbold and David I. Harvey.
13. Testing Forecast Accuracy: Roberto S. Mariano.
14. Inference About Predictive Ability: Michael W. McCracken and Kenneth D. West.
15. Forecasting Competitions: Their Role in Improving Forecasting Practice and Research: Robert Fildes and Keith Ord.
16. Empirical Comparisons of Inflation Models' Forecast Accuracy: ?yvind Eitrheim, Tore Anders Huseb?, and Ragnar Nymoen.
17. The Forecasting Performance of the OECD Composite Leading Indicators for France, Germany, Italy, and the UK: Gonzalo Camba-Mendez, George Kapetanios, Martin R. Weale and Richard J. Smith.
18. Unit Root Versus Deterministic Representations of Seasonality for Forecasting: Denise R. Osborn.
19. Forecasting with Periodic Autoregressive Time Series Models: Philip Hans Franses and Richard Paap.
20. Non-Linear Models and Forecasting: Ruey S. Tsay.
21. Forecasting with Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models: Stefan Lundbergh and Timo Terasvirta.
22. Forecasting Financial Variables: Terence C. Mills.
23. Explaining Forecast Failure in Macroeconomics: Michael P. Clements and David F. Hendry.
Author Index.
Subject Index
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