Why Nobody Believes the Numbers: Distinguishing Fact from Fiction in Population Health Management

Behind every health plan and benefits department decision are the numbers that illuminate and drive the cost of coverage. An easy-to-follow guide to population health management, Why Nobody Believes the Numbers helps readers interpret these numbers, explains why and how "experts" often make them up, and shows that you don't need to rely on expensive—and as the hilarious examples show, often numerically challenged—consultants and vendors to do evaluations. Why Nobody Believes the Numbers gives you the tools to:

• Figure out whether you are "moving the needle" or just crediting a program with changes that would have happened anyway
• Determine whether the ROIs your vendors report are plausible or even arithmetically possible (the majority aren't)
• Synthesize all these insights into RFPs and contracts that let vendors know that you weren't born yesterday