The Future of Intelligence
November 2017, Polity
Intelligence is, by definition, a shadowy business. Yet many aspects of this secret world are now more openly analyzed and discussed, a trend which has inevitably prompted lively debate about intelligence gathering and analysis: what should be allowed? What boundaries, if any, should be drawn? And what changes and challenges lie ahead for intelligence activities and agencies?
In this compelling book, leading intelligence scholar Mark Lowenthal explores the future of intelligence. There are, he argues, three broad areas – information technology and intelligence collection; analysis; and governance – that indicate the potential for rather dramatic change in the world of intelligence. But whether these important vectors for change will improve how intelligence works or make it more difficult remains to be seen. The only certainty is that intelligence will remain an essential feature of statecraft in our increasingly dangerous world.
Drawing on the author's forty years' experience in U.S. intelligence, The Future of Intelligence offers a broad and authoritative starting point for the ongoing debate about what intelligence could be and how it may function in the years ahead.
Chapter 1: What this book is about
Chapter 2: Technology Vectors
Chapter 3: Analysis Vectors
Chapter 4: Governance Vectors
Chapter 5: Looking Ahead
Robert Jervis, Columbia University and author of Why Intelligence Fails: Lessons from the Iranian Revolution and the Iraq War
"Even as a former director of CIA, I rely on Mark Lowenthal's work as the textbook in my intelligence class. So little wonder than I eagerly anticipated Mark's take on whither the American intelligence community. I wasn't disappointed. With appropriate humility, The Future of Intelligence deftly outlines the likely course of our still critical intelligence enterprise."
Gen. Michael V. Hayden, USAF (ret.), former Director of NSA and of CIA