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CMT Level II 2019: The Theory and Analysis of Technical Analysis

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$224.95

CMT Level II 2019: The Theory and Analysis of Technical Analysis

Wiley

ISBN: 978-1-119-54351-0 December 2018 848 Pages

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Description

Everything you need to pass Level II of the CMT Program

CMT Level II 2019: Theory and Analysis fully prepares you to demonstrate competency applying the principles covered in Level I, as well as the ability to apply more complex analytical techniques. Covered topics address theory and history, market indicators, construction, confirmation, cycles, selection and decision, system testing, and statistical analysis. The Level II exam emphasizes trend, chart, and pattern analysis, as well as risk management concepts.

This cornerstone guidebook of the Chartered Market Technician® Program will provide every advantage to passing Level II CMT Exam.

Introduction vii

The CMT Association vii

The CMT Program viii

The Level II Textbook x

Section I Chart Development and Analysis 1

Chapter 1 Charting 3
Perry J. Kaufman

Chapter 2 Moving Averages 71
Charles D. Kirkpatrick II and Julie R. Dahlquist

Chapter 3 Time-Based Trend Calculations 99
Perry J. Kaufman

Chapter 4 T rend Systems (Part 1) 114
Perry J. Kaufman

Chapter 5 T rend Systems (Part 2) 138
Perry J. Kaufman

Chapter 6 Momentum and Oscillators 156
Perry J. Kaufman

Chapter 7 Volume, Open Interest, and Breadth 197
Perry J. Kaufman

Chapter 8 Bar Chart Patterns 234
Charles D. Kirkpatrick II and Julie R. Dahlquist

Chapter 9 Short-Term Patterns 267
Charles D. Kirkpatrick II and Julie R. Dahlquist

Chapter 10 Single Candle Lines 309
Steve Nison

Chapter 11 Multi-Candle Patterns 320
Steve Nison

Chapter 12 Candle Pattern Forecasting and Trading Techniques 335
Steve Nison

Chapter 13 Concepts in Cycle Theory 344
Kyle Crystal, CMT, CFTe

Chapter 14 Applied Cycle Analysis 355
Kyle Crystal, CMT, CFTe

Section II Measuring Volatility in Today’s Financial Markets 369

Chapter 15 Options 371
Michael Kahn, CMT

Chapter 16 Understanding Implied Volatility 379
Russell Rhoads

Chapter 17 About the VIX Index 391
Russell Rhoads

Section III Topics in Behavioral Finance 405

Chapter 18 Prospect Theory 407
Edwin T. Burton and Sunit N. Shah

Chapter 19 Perception Biases 414
Edwin T. Burton and Sunit N. Shah

Chapter 20 Inertial Effects 422
Edwin T. Burton and Sunit N. Shah

Chapter 21 Analyzing Sentiment in the Stock Market 431
Michael Carr, CMT, CFTe

Chapter 22 Analyzing Sentiment in Derivatives Markets 439
Michael Carr, CMT, CFTe

Section IV Statistical Applications for Technical Analysts 447

Chapter 23 Inferential Statistics 449
Jonas Elmerraji, CMT

Chapter 24 Correlation 465
Markos Katsanos

Chapter 25 Regression 479
Markos Katsanos

Chapter 26 Regression Analysis 485
Perry J. Kaufman

Section V Technical Methods and Market Selection 497

Chapter 27 Selection of Markets and Issues: Trading and Investing 499
Charles D. Kirkpatrick II and Julie R. Dahlquist

Chapter 28 Intermarket Analysis 525
Markos Katsanos

Chapter 29 Relative Strength Strategies for Investing 537
Mebane T. Faber

Chapter 30 A Stock Market Model 550
Ned Davis

Chapter 31 A Simple Model for Bonds 585
Ned Davis

Chapter 32 Perspectives on Active and Passive Money Management 592
Robert A. Weigand

Section VI Designing and Testing Technical Trading Systems 625

Chapter 33 The Statistics of Backtesting 627
Jonas Elmerraji, CMT

Chapter 34 The Scientific Method and Technical Analysis 637
David Aronson

Chapter 35 Theories of Nonrandom Price Motion 690
David Aronson

Chapter 36 Case Study of Rule Data Mining for the S&P 500 741
David Aronson

Chapter 37 System Design and Testing 788
Charles D. Kirkpatrick II and Julie R. Dahlquist

Index 816