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Prosperity in The Age of Decline: How to Lead Your Business and Preserve Wealth Through the Coming Business Cycles



Prosperity in The Age of Decline: How to Lead Your Business and Preserve Wealth Through the Coming Business Cycles

Brian Beaulieu, Alan Beaulieu

ISBN: 978-1-118-93321-3 June 2014 240 Pages


A guide for protecting your wealth in an age of turbulent business cycles

In Prosperity in the Age of Decline, Brian and Alan Beaulieu—the CEO and President of the Institute for Trend Research® (ITR)—offer an informed, meticulously-researched look at the future and the coming Great Depression. Drawing on ITR's 94.7% forecast accuracy rate, the book outlines specific, actionable strategies for capitalizing on cyclical opportunities and dodging economic danger. In this important resource, the authors reveal what it will take for individual investors and business leaders to prosper as the economy heats up prior to the predicted downturn, preserve wealth in the upcoming Great Depression, and profit on the way out of the depression. The imbalances and maladjustments have a while to play out and the authors pinpoint the investment opportunities to be had in the countdown period.

The Beaulieu's examine the major economic trends at play, such as low interest rates, burgeoning government debt, and an aging population. They discuss which trends will last and what investors should do with this knowledge in order to thrive. The book also reviews the group of leading economic indicators that most consistently achieve reliable results for predicting where the economy is headed. Designed as a useful tool for investors, the book includes a working list of key trends, describes the upside potential of each trend, and explains the potential threat stemming from a particular trend. Understanding how to capitalize on these trends and knowing how to avoid the common pitfalls are the keys to creating a solid economic future for individual investors and business leaders.

  • Contains the strategies for capitalizing on cyclical opportunities and avoiding economic dangers
  • Offers an examination of major economic trends
  • Includes information on the leading economic indicators that most reliably achieve results
  • Shows how to preserve wealth and avoid the most common investing pitfalls

This comprehensive resource offers guidelines for averting cyclical downturns and building on rising industry trends.

1 Results That No One Can Ignore: You Can Successfully Prepare for an Unknown Future 1

Where Not to Look 3

Confidence Indicators 3

Politics 8

Federal Reserve Board (The U.S. Version of Central Banks in Other Countries) 9

Newspapers and Media 15

ITR Economics Forecast Accuracy 16

2 The Status Quo Never Was: Seven Major Trends and Assumptions That Won’t Last 21

Unstoppable Trends That Suddenly Stopped 22

Today’s Trends That Won’t Last Forever 31

Stimulus Spending Is Needed and Helpful 34

3 Preparing for Prosperity—Good News for 2015 and 2016: Do You Have Enough? 37

What Will 2015, 2016, and 2017 Look Like? 39

4 Depression Driver: Demographics 45

More People, More Older People 47

Show Me the Money 53

Medicare and Social Security 58

Managing to Win 61

Probable Winners 65

(Potential) Losers 66

5 AWorld That Doesn’t Remember Inflation: New Management and Investment Thought Processes Required 69

Inflation’s Impacts 77

Five Sources of Inflation 80

Managing to Win 95

Winners and Losers 101

Appendix to Chapter 5 102

6 Sovereign Debt—Harmless or Toxic? Not Just an American Problem 105

A Global Perspective 106

Summary 114

7 A Closer Look at the United States: The U.S. Problem Becomes the World’s Problem 117

Where Are We Now? 117

Where Are We Going? 122

State and Local Governments 125

Spreading the Pain around the World 127

Summary 129

8 Business Growth Strategies and Tactics from Now through 2029 131

Monthly Moving Totals (MMTs) 132

Calculating Rate-of-Change 132

Use the Metrics 133

9 Offense and Defense: Strategies for the Upside of the Business Cycle 141

Offense and Defense 141

Conflicting Messages 142

Don’t Delay 143

Phase A Management Objectives 144

Let the Good Times Roll 147

Summary 151

10 Playing Defense to Win: Enhancing Profits Even as the Economy Deteriorates 153

Management Objectives 155

The Rules Are Changing 167

Summary 168

11 Great Opportunities within the Stock Market: What Businesses and Individuals Need to Know 169

Energy Distribution 170

Printed Electronics 171

Mexico 172

Water Conservation and Distribution 173

Health Care 174

Vocational Education 176

3-D Printing 176

Housing 177

Security 177

Natural Resources 178

Food 179

Entertainment 180

12 Investing Based on Age and Trend 181

Some Commonalities 181

Different Markets—Different Times 185

How Old Are You? 192

13 How to Spot the Top (Before the Great Depression) 201

14 What the Next Generation Needs to Know: Six Things the Next Generation Must Do 209

What Owners and Managers Must Do 209

Six Things Our Kids (and Businesses) Must Do 211

15 Is There Hope? 215

What Can Stave Off the Great Depression of 2030? 215

A Different View of the 1930s 218

A Different Future 218

Summary 219

Bibliography 221

Index 223