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Thinking: Psychological Perspectives on Reasoning, Judgment and Decision Making

Thinking: Psychological Perspectives on Reasoning, Judgment and Decision Making

David Hardman (Editor), Laura Macchi (Co-Editor)

ISBN: 978-0-470-01332-8 January 2005 392 Pages


The first international handbook to bring the areas of reasoning,judgment and decision making together, now in paperback format.

The book brings three of the important topics of thinkingtogether - reasoning, judgment and decision making â?? anddiscusses key issues in each area. The studies described range fromthose that are purely laboratory based to those that involveexperts making real world judgments, in areas such as medical andlegal decision making and political and economic forecasting.
* International collection of original chapters by leadingresearchers in the field
* Several chapters contain important new theoreticalperspectives
* Paperback version is more affordable for individualresearchers
List of Contributors.


Part I: Reasoning.

Chapter 1: A Theory of Hypothetical Thinking (Jonathan St. B.T.Evans, David E. Over and Simon J. Handley).

Chapter 2: Individual Differences in the Development ofReasoning Strategies (Maxwell J. Roberts and Elizabeth J.Newton).

Chapter 3: Generalising Individual Differences and StrategiesAcross Different Deductive Reasoning Domains (Padraic Monaghan andKeith Stenning).

Chapter 4: Superordinate Principles, Conditions and Conditionals(Neil Fairley and Ken Manktelow).

Chapter 5: Premise Interpretation in Conditional Reasoning (GuyPolitzer).

Chapter 6: Probabilities and Pragmatics in ConditionalInference: Suppression and Order Effects (Mike Oaksford and NickChater).

Part II: Judgment.

Chapter 7: Verbal Expressions of Uncertainty and Probability(Karl Halvor Teigen and Wibecke Brun).

Chapter 8: Possibilities and Probabilities (Paolo Legrenzi,Vittorio Girotto, Maria Sonino Legrenzi and Philip N.Johnson-Laird).

Chapter 9: The Partitive Conditional Probability (LauraMacchi).

Chapter 10: Naive and yet Enlightened: From Natural Frequenciesto Fast and Frugal Decision Trees (Laura Martignon, Oliver Vitouch,Masanori Takezawa and Malcolm R. Forster).

Chapter 11: More is not Always Better: The Benefits of CognitiveLimits (Ralph Hertwig and Peter M. Todd).

Chapter 12: Correspondence and Coherence: Indicators of GoodJudgment in World Politics (Philip E. Tetlock).

Part III: Decision Making.

Chapter 13: Cognitive Mapping of Causal Reasoning in StrategicDecision Making (A. John Maule, Gerard P. Hodgkinson and Nicola J.Bown).

Chapter 14: Belief and Preference in Decision Under Uncertainty(Craig R. Fox and Kelly E. See).

Chapter 15: Medical Decision Scripts: Combining CognitiveScripts and Judgment Strategies to Account Fully for MedicalDecision Making (Robert M. Hamm).

Chapter 16: On the Assessment of Decision Quality:Considerations Regarding Utility, Conflict and Accountability(Gideon Keren and W¨andi Bruine de Bruin).

Author Index.

Subject Index.
“…presents a variety of stimulating and informative chapters which are representative of topical issues and debates in the area...” (Applied Cognitive Psychology, No.18, 2004)